According to a report that quotes a Rocket Forces representative, deployment of the second Topol-M regiment at Teykovo was completed in 2009 after all, bringing the number of deployed Topol-M missiles to 18. This was planned for some time (there was an announcement in April 2009 and then in September 2009), but there was no report of the actual deployment in December 2009.
Since the deployment appears to have been completed in 2009, the Rocket Forces plan to deploy two Topol-M regiments by the end of 2010 - one mobile in Teykovo and one silo-based in Tatishchevo - would bring the number of mobile missiles to 27 and silo-based - to 60. This would add 19 or 20 missiles to the force - a fairly ambitious plan given that the rate of deployment so far has been on the level of 6-7 missiles a year. At the same time, 14 new Topol-M missiles were deployed in 2009, so 20 is not out of question.
The last three Topol missiles in Teykovo were apparently withdrawn from service.
The book
Comments
Pavel
Votkinsk plant have ability to produce up to 40 missiles(ICBM) per year. Can we expect this rate in the near future (2012-2015). What is your expectation about new heavy ICBM after 2016.
As I understand, Votkinsk produced more than 40 in the Soviet days. But what matters is the recent demonstrated rate of production.
As for the new ICBM, I'm certain it won't be ready by 2016, although some work may be under way.
The first two types of the SS-27 "Stalin" ICBM, the silo-based RT-2PM2 / RS-12M2 (15P065) and the road-mobile RT-2PM1 / RS-12M1 (15P165) of the 15Zh65 "Topol-M" missile, are officially designated by the U.S. Department of Defense as the SS-27 Mod 1, while the RS-24 "Yars" is referred to as the SS-27 Mod-X-2 (SS-27 Mod 2 if deployed). According to an ICBM comparison graphic of the last NASIC edition "Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat", the RS-24 has the same missile airframe or dimensions and proportions. It suggests that the RS-24 is not distinguishable from the SS-27 by its length or diameter. It suggests furthermore that the RS-24 is not different from the previously declared RS-12M variant 2 for road-mobile and silo launchers relating to the ICBM´s launch weight and an increase of its throw-weight.
The planned introduction of the first RS-24 missile battalion inside the Teykovo ICBM base in December 2009 was delayed. The further deployment of SS-27 ICBMs since the end of 2009 was confirmed. It was reported by RIA Novosti that the euipping of the missile unit in Teykovo with the second missile regiment was brought to an end in 2009. The Strategic Missile Force Troops have deployed the third missile battalion with 3 road-mobile SS-27 ICBMs in Teykovo-4, so that this missile operating base has reached its full strenght with 9 ground-mobile missile complexes. The full combat duty strength of Teykovo-3 was reached in December 2008. Teykovo-3 was extended and refurbished between 2006 and 2008 with new administrative and personal quarters, vehicle storage and support buildings, while Teykovo-4 was renewed since 2004.
Combat duty of SS-27 battalions in Teykovo:
Teykovo-3.....1st missile battalion.....10 December 2006
....................2nd missile battalion....16 December 2007
....................3th missile battalion.....24 December 2008
Teykovo-4.....1st missile battalion.....24 December 2008
....................2nd missile battalion....10 March 2009
....................3th missile battalion.....December 2009
.....................................................(date not confirmed)
The 9 fixed structures respectively launcher garages of Teykovo-2 were completely dismantled between July and September 2009. It is possible that this base will be upgraded for the RS-24 deployment, so that the first RS-24 battalion can be deployed maybe from early 2011. Also possible is the stationing of the first RS-24 missile complexes in Teykovo-1, but neither in Teykovo-1 nor in Teykovo-2 additional upgradings and construction works were carried out until 2009. Of course other strategic planning is possible relating the RS-24 introduction and further SS-27 deployment.
SS-25 and SS-27 deployments of the 54th Guards Missile Division Teykovo:
START I MOU.......Teykovo-1.......Teykovo-2.......Teykovo-3.......Teykovo-4
..........................ICBMs/mobile launchers/launcher garages
1 Jul 2006............9/9/9..............9/9/9...............3/3/9...............9/9/9
1 Jan 2007...........9/9/9..............9/9/9...............3*/3*/9............9/9/9
1 Jul 2007............9/9/9..............9/9/9...............3*/3*/9............9/9/9
1 Jan 2008...........3/3/9..............9/9/9...............6*/6*/9............0/0/9
1 Jul 2008............0/0/9..............9/9/9...............6*/6*/9............0/0/9
1 Jan 2009...........0/0/9..............9/9/9...............9*/9*/9............4*/6*/9
1 Jul 2009............3/3/9..............0/0/9...............9*/9*/9............6*/6*/9
Notes: SS-25 items without, SS-27 items with "*".
According to the START I Treaty Memoranda of Understanding, all "fixed structures for road-mobile launchers" are launcher garages of the SS-25.
All four missile operating bases (raketnaya operazionnaya baza) or restricted areas of the Teykovo ICBM base and its deployment area are visible in "Google Earth´s" satellite images. The Teykovo ICBM base or missile division (raketnyi divizion) consists of four missile operating bases or missile regiments (raketnyi polk). Each missile regiment is organized in three missile battalions (raketnyi batal´on), and each missile battalion has three ground-mobile missile complexes (PGRK). Also visible is the maintenance facility or missile support facility (raketno-technicheskaya baza - RTB) including its rail yard, which is part of the Teykovo ICBM base and in which non-deployed ICBMs, non-deployed road-mobile launchers, training models of missiles, transporter loaders, road-mobile training launchers and other items are located and their operation is supported.
Locations of the 54th Guards Missile Division Teykovo:
Base.................Geographic...............Restricted..........ICBM..........Launcher
........................coordinates...............area size*.........type............garages
Teykovo-1..........56° 48' 33'' N...........0.31 sq.km........-................9
........................040° 10' 14'' E
Teykovo-2..........56° 54' 59'' N...........0.27 sq.km........-................0
........................040° 18' 31'' E
Teykovo-3..........56° 55' 57'' N...........0.23 sq.km........SS-27.........9
........................040° 32' 35'' E
Teykovo-4..........56° 42' 16'' N...........0.16 sq.km........SS-27.........9
........................040° 26' 25'' E
Maintenance........56° 53' 35'' N
facility...............040° 34' 35'' E
Deployment area size: 110,389 sq.km*
* According to the START I Treaty Memorandum of Understanding
N - northern latitude, E - eastern longitude
At the military parade of the 65th Victory Day celebration on the Red Square in Moscow on 9 May 2010 the "Topol-M" ground-mobile missile complex will be showcased for the first time. During the night of 25th to 26th February a convoy of three MZKT-79221 road-mobile launchers drove through the city of Moscow on their journey from the Teykovo ICBM base to a military training square in Alabino near the Russian capital (see video on: http://rt.com/Top_News/2010-02-26/strategic-missiles-topol-moscow.html).
-> Marino
what are the sources for your claims?
In your recent statement elsewhere here on Pavels Website you refer to the types as
"SS-27M3/RS-24" now it's SS-27M2/RS-24
How do you know which location on google earth is Teykovo 1 2 3 4?
Why do you think that the location at 56.933225° 40.544239° and at 56.704896° 40.441572° are the Topol-M sites? The latter could be a site already in preparation for RS-24 and the first Topol-M Regiment could be deployed at 56.809028° 40.173461°.
Your comments are welcome
Cheers
Dear Bernd,
Thank you for your recent inquiry, and sorry for the late answer!
- The designations SS-27 Mod 1/2/3 I used only in my former comments to distinguish the three types of the "Topol-M" (silo-based, road-mobile, MIRVed/uploaded). The U.S. Department of Defense has designated the "Topol-M" variants as the SS-27 Mod 1 (silo-based & road-mobile single RV) and the SS-27 Mod-X-2 (silo-based & road-mobile MIRVed RS-24). Additionally, the "Bulava-30" SLBM now has the designation SS-NX-32 (later
SS-N-32), not SS-N(X)-30 (see:
http://www.fas.org/irp/threat/missile/naic/NASIC2009.pdf).
- The locations of the Teykovo ICBM base are published in the documentation "The U.S. Nuclear War Plan: A Time For Change" of the Natural Resources Defense Council, June 2001, figure 4.16, page 53 (see: http://www.nrdc.org/nuclear/warplan/warplan_ch4.pdf), and by Hans M. Kristensen of the Federation of American Scientists in his article "Russian Nuclear Forces 2010", January 2010 (see: http://www.fas.org/blog/ssp/2010/01/russia2010.php). The source for the Teykovo facilities is the JOG NO3712 Topographic Map (see: http://www.omnimap.com/catalog/int/jogs-old.htm). The missile bases Teykovo-1 and Teykovo-2 obviously now have no active deployed ICBMs. The launcher garages 15U135 "Krona" of Teykovo-2 are removed, only the foundations (30.4 x 8.1 m according START I MOU) now are visible in the last "Google Earth´s" satellite image. The former START I Treaty Memoranda of Understanding published the ICBM types of Teykovo-1/-2/-3/-4.
- On 12th March 2010 the TV channel "Russia Today" published a short report from the Alabino military training square near Moscow with further new video sequences of the three MZKT-79221 "Topol-M" road-mobile launchers during a military exercise for the Victory Day Parade on Moscow´s Red Square (see: http://www.rt.com/Top_News/2010_03_12/new-missile-launcher-topol.html). "Russia Today" released two different TV reports this day, but some pictures of the "Topol-M" launchers are not visible in the website´s video. The military parade will begin on 9th May 2010 at 10:00 a.m. Moscow Time / MSK (06:00 a.m. GMT).
I hope this meets your needs.
Best wishes
Marino
Dear Marino!
Thanks a lot for your response and your informations!
All the best from bernd reuter (berlin)