The START Treaty data that reflect the status of the Russian Forces on January 1, 2006 show the that Russia continues to decommission old strategic systems while working on deployment of new ones. As a result of this process Russia currently has a total 771 strategic delivery platforms, which can carry up to 3319 nuclear warheads. [CORRECTION 10/13/06: A better estimate is 777 platforms and 3379 warheads.]
Russia has completed withdrawal of the RT-23UTTH/SS-24 rail-mobile missiles and continued decommissioning of older R-36MUTTH/SS-18 and Topol/SS-25 missiles. The deployment of the new Topol-M missile has slowed down, with only two missiles deployed in 2005. The Rocket Forces, however, are prepared to begin deployment of the mobile version of the missile later this year.
The memorandum data indicate that Russia began decommissioning of at least two of its Project 667BDR/Delta III strategic submarines, which now have less than a full load of missiles.
After conducting two flight test of the new R-30 Bulava missile in 2005, Russia declared that the missile has throwweight of 1150 kg and will carry six warheads.
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It's interesting that there are now 108 missiles at Tatischevo, which supports my contention that a maximum of 110 silos are available. This would mean that SS-24 silos are not used for SS-27s. Alternatively, it could just be a coincidence which allows me to persist with my incorrect hypothesis.
The Delta III SSBN that has been decommissioned is most likely K-223 Podol'sk of the Pacific Fleet, especially since it has not been mentioned in the press since an explosion in 2004 killed a member of its crew. In addition to this, K-44 Ryazan' has been out of service from November last year and it currently undergoing a life-extension refit at the Zvezdochka plant. All other submarines of the class are in service, with K-496 Borisoglebsk the next likely candidate for decommissioning, as 13 years have elapsed and it is one of the three oldest submarines in the class. The others are Ryazan', mentioned above, and K-506 Zelenograd, which is in following an overhaul in 2004-05. The entire class should be decommissioned by 2012, given the available overhaul data.
There are indeed 110 silos in Tatishchevo. In 1990, the ten SS-24 missiles that were there were deployed in the regiment that is designated as Tatishchevo-8 in the START data. All these launchers have been used for Topol-M deployment in 2001-2004. Right now all Tatishchevo-8 silos have Topol-M missiles.
I don't really understand how do the Russians plan to complete their plan of having 250 Topol-Ms in total if their entry in service is so slow,it might take 20 years to complete the plan!And is it true that they won't build anymore silo based Topol-Ms after stoppng at 50 and instead go only for the mobile version of the missile ?Would be a wise step...And some sources claim that the commissioning of the missiles is set to increase after all the mobile platforms are built (MAZ trailers) is it true do you think ?
I'm not sure anyone is talking about having 250 Topol-Ms. I think it is likely that the deployment will stop at about 100 missiles, although there is no direct official information on that (see my 2005 article for some projections). As for silo/mobile breakdown, if I remember correctly, deployment of silo-based Topol-M will indeed stop at 50 or 60 missiles.
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